Geopolitical Relations between Mexico and Spain: Strengthening Ties Rather Than Resentment

Mexico and Spain have a long-standing history that stretches back to the 16th century when Spanish colonizers first arrived in the Americas. However, in recent years, the relationship has evolved beyond colonial remnants to become a more modern and strategic alliance. The recent close cooperation, while reminiscent of old historical ties, has seen both nations work together not in conflict but rather in mutual support and interest.

Current Ties and Cultural Exchange

Mexico and Spain share a wealth of cultural similarities, both economically and socially. After the Spanish Civil War, Mexico extended a helping hand to the defeated Republicans, showing support both politically and economically. Mexico has continued to support and engage with Spain, even supplying essential resources such as oil during Spain's economic stabilization period. In return, Mexico benefits from a steady flow of entertainment and cultural content from Spain, a relationship that is often referred to as a running joke among Mexicans who say they have to travel to Spain to experience true Mexican culture. This mutually beneficial relationship underscores the depth of their current geopolitical relations.

Modern Military Realities

While Spain does possess significant military capabilities, the gap in power disparity is less pronounced than in the Vietnam War or similar conflicts. Factors such as population size, the easier replacement of the workforce, and logistics play crucial roles in this modern military dynamic.

Population: Spain has a significantly smaller population. The loss of a single soldier is more impactful, and the workforce is less easily replaceable. In contrast, Mexico has a much larger labor force, which means it is easier for Mexico to replenish its ranks and maintain a sustainable workforce.

Logistics: Mexico's advantage is evident in its defensive posture. Defense requires a much lower expenditure of resources compared to offensive operations such as moving the navy across thousands of miles. This logistical challenge makes an attack by Spain costly and complex—factors that could deter any potential aggression.

Military Budget: Mexico’s $7 billion annual military budget is substantial compared to Spain’s $11.6 billion. This suggests that while Spain has a larger budget, Mexico’s smaller budget is strategically flexible and able to adapt to the needs of a defensive posture, thereby making an offensive campaign logistically and economically challenging for Spain.

Strategic Considerations and Regional Dynamics

Despite these advantages, Mexico faces significant hurdles, particularly in the realm of corruption. The issue of "stolen" territory has been a long-standing grievance in Mexico, and recent presidents have attempted to address this through legal and political means. However, political corruption remains a serious challenge that can undermine Mexico's sovereignty and stability.

Furthermore, the potential involvement of other key players like the United States and Latin American nations adds another layer of complexity. The U.S. has a vested interest in the stability of the region, and other Latin American countries may also be motivated to support Mexico out of solidarity and to prevent the loss of their own sovereignty.

Culturally and economically, Mexico and Spain have a deep bond, and the political relationship is evolving to reflect this. Geopolitically, the likelihood of a conflict between the two nations is slim. Instead, the focus is on strengthening their alliances and addressing common regional challenges, such as economic development, security, and the impact of globalization.

Mexico's historical grievances against Spain, while still relevant, are now overshadowed by the reality of contemporary cooperation. The current relations between Mexico and Spain are a testament to the complex interplay of history, culture, and geopolitical dynamics, making conflict less likely as both nations seek to work together for mutual benefit.