Can F-16s Given to Ukraine Challenge the Su-35 in Skies Above Ukraine?

With the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, one intriguing question has emerged: can the F-16s provided to Ukraine challenge the Su-35s operated by the Russian Air Force?

Reality of Air Combat in the 21st Century

While the prospect of direct combat between the F-16 and Su-35 might seem appealing, it is important to consider the realities of 21st-century combat. Air engagements are rarely a simple 'dogfight' between two aircraft. Several other factors come into play, including ground-based radars, types of missions flown, available weapons, additional fighter aircraft, air battle managers, radars, and other sensors, as well as the rules of engagement.

The Capabilities of Older Aircraft

The notion that any aircraft can beat another, regardless of age or upgrades, is supported by historical examples. For instance, an outdated T-55 tank has been known to outperform the latest tank from any nation. Similarly, an F-16, even if heavily upgraded in the late 90s, can theoretically defeat a Su-35.

However, these scenarios assume near-perfect conditions. In a real-world scenario, if all else is equal, the Su-35, with its advanced technology and performance, would have a significant advantage and would likely win almost all engagements.

System vs Single Aerial Unit

Combat in Ukraine is more than just two aircraft; it involves an entire system. Russia's advantage is not just in its fleet of Su-35s but also in other modern jets, a vast number of aircraft, and extensive stationary missile defenses. This comprehensive system makes it highly unlikely for the F-16s to operate effectively in Ukraine's skies.

Realistic Combat Scenarios

Given the challenges, the prospect of a direct confrontation between an F-16 and a Su-35 is quite slim. Several factors could make this unlikely:

Widespread use of ground-based missile systems and air defenses would make it extremely difficult for F-16s to approach Su-35s.

The Russian air force has a surplus of modern jets, making it easier for them to maintain air dominance.

The lack of real-time data from outside Ukrainian airspace could leave F-16 pilots lacking crucial intelligence and situational awareness.

In summary, while the F-16 could potentially outperform a Su-35 under certain circumstances, such as in a sudden, isolated confrontation with an unalerted Su-35, the broader context of the conflict makes this scenario highly improbable. The combat capabilities of modern aircraft are highly dependent on the strategic and tactical advantages provided by a nation's overall air force and air defense system.